Michigan Notebook: January 19, 2011

– The Michigan Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association is hosting its annual Stallion Season Auction on Tuesday, Jan. 25. Bidding will run from 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. This year’s auction features seasons from some of the best sires Michigan has to offer. Perennial leaders such as Demaloot Demashoot, Elusive Hour, Syncline and the state’s 2010 stallion of the year Equality will have seasons up for bids, along with up-and-comers like Fire Blitz, Comedy Show, Monetary Star and Gainango. The sale also features out-of-state sires from Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Loiusiana, Maryland, Minnesota, New York, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia.

For more information on the auction, and for a constantly updating list of the sires involved, click here.

– The Michigan HBPA board has voted to focus negotiations for the 2011 Thoroughbred meet on Pinnacle Race Course for the time being. From the Michigan HBPA website…

The Michigan HBPA board met Tuesday to discuss the 2011 live season, during the meeting the board took a “straw poll” as to what track they preferred to have the 2011 meet. The board moved to prefer Pinnacle and work through the issues until March 1, 2011 and pursue other options at that time, if necessary.

– MTOBA has rolled out a multi-pronged effort to increase its web presence. The organization recently opened up a Facebook fan page and Twitter account to go along with it’s redesigned website. Be sure to include Michigan’s Thoroughbred owners and breeders in your social networking endeavors.

– Voting for the Michigan-Bred Claimer Photo of the Year poll is still open and will remain so through the end of the month. The clubhouse leader is photo #18, titled “Affection”, depicting newly-crowned Horse of the Year Zenyatta and her groom Mario Espinoza in the Churchill Downs shedrow. If you agree with that outcome and want to lock it down, or if you think another photo is more deserving, the cutoff date is sometime during Feb. 1. Don’t get shut out!

Meadow Magic named MTOBA’s 2010 Horse of the Year

The connections of Michigan Horse of the Year Meadow Magic celebrate their victory with MTOBA president Patti Dickinson.

Meadow Magic took his place among Michigan’s elite after earning Horse of the Year honors at Sunday’s Michigan Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association year-end awards dinner.

The three-year-old Meadow Prayer gelding punched his ticket on the strength of his wins in this year’s Dowling Stakes and Michigan Sire Stakes, along with finishes on the board in the Mackinac Handicap and Lansing Stakes, all at Pinnacle Race Course. He was the only horse to win multiple stakes races during Pinnacle’s 2010 meet.

Meadow Magic is owned by Laura Jackson and Red Riding Hood Stable, the nom de race of George and Chrissy Kutlenios. He resides in the barn of trainer James Jackson. Those connections celebrated another award earlier in afternoon when Paris Prayer was named champion two-year-old filly.

Arnold Farm, perennially successful at the year-end awards, had another strong showing in 2010. The Hillsdale Mich. farm accounted for four trophies on the afternoon, including Breeder of the Year. Co-Stallion of the Year Meadow Prayer, who stood at Arnold Farm, sired the most award-winners in 2010, with three divisional champions, as well as the horse of the year.

Also taking home their fair share of awards was Owner of the Year Mast Thoroughbreds, who earned honors in both older horse divisions.

On a personal note, I took home my usual awesome haul in the silent auction. I came home with box seats and a dinner package from Arlington Park (got this last year and it was awesome), a gift basket from Hoosier Park and an American Racing Manual from 1972.

As one of the people who helped broker donations for the silent auction, I would like to personally thank Arabian Finish Line Magazine, Midwest Thoroughbred Magazine, Hoosier Park, ThoroFan and Hello Race Fans for their generosity. Others who donated include publications Thoroughbred Times, Blood Horse and Daily Racing Form; information services Equineline and BRISNet; racing organizations Breeders’ Cup and NTRA; stallion farms Adena Springs, Darley America, Hill ‘n Dale Farm and Winstar Farm; and many more, including contributions by several MTOBA members.

One final note related to the silent auction – The Zenyatta Breyer Christmas ornament is easily the Tickle-Me-Elmo of the 2010 holiday season. Its combination of low supply, high demand and the white-hot popularity of its subject make it a coveted item. There was one offered in the silent auction, and it did not take long for it to surpass its Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price. For those that seek it, I can only wish them good luck on their journey.

For a list of all the nominees and winners from the 2010 MTOBA year-end awards, click the link below.

Michigan mares bred totals down in 2010

The Jockey Club reports the number of Thoroughbred mares bred in Michigan, a key indicator of a state racing industry’s health, was cut almost in half from last year.

Preliminary figures recently released by the Jockey Club indicate 152 mares were covered by Michigan sires in 2010, a 49% decrease from the 2009 total of 297.

To view a sire-by-sire comparison of mares covered in Michigan over the last two seasons, click here.

Before discussing the figures in detail, it must be noted that the 2010 numbers are based on reports received on or prior to October 13, and several thousand more reports are expected to come in later, undoubtedly some of those from Michigan. Last year, several Michigan sires were unreported in the initial Jockey Club release, but appeared in the foaling report statistics some months later.

To put it in a better perspective, last year’s preliminary report tallied 240 mares bred by Michigan sires, which constitutes a 37% drop between this year and last. Assuming there is a similar proportion of stragglers to turn in reports, (and judging by some of the notable no-shows on the list there should be a few), the final total should be higher, but still signify a major drop.

From the figures provided, only nine of the 27 Michigan sires to cover a mare in 2010 had a book of five or more.

Arnold Farm’s Meadow Prayer, who died over the summer, led all Michigan sires with 25 mares covered. The Meadowlake horse currently leads the state in Michigan-bred stakes wins (four) and stakes winners (three).

Hubel Farm’s The Deputy (IRE), by Petardia (GB), was second with 18 mares, followed by Comedy Show (Distorted Humor, 16), Equality (Mt. Livermore, 15) and Diamond Strike (Allens Prospect, 14) to round out the top five.

Baptistry, standing at Sprintland Training Center, was the only horse to see an increase of more than two mares from 2009, going from two mares to five in 2010. Of the sires to report mares bred in both years, Equality and Syncline took the biggest dips, both breeding six fewer mares.

The reasons for the decline are not very different from last year, just given more time to fester; ever-increasing competition from surrounding racino states, an unstable climate in the State Capitol, a decrease in race dates and declining purses to keep the dates that were run. Pinnacle Race Course’s highly scrutinized situation with its creditors and local government adds another element of uncertainty to the situation.

Below are a couple charts showing how Michigan’s breeding totals stand up against other states, and against history. Click on the charts for an enlarged view.

Mares Bred in the Great Lakes Region, 1991-2010

X Axis = Year; Y Axis = Mares Bred

Consistent with previous years, the top three states on the list feature casino gaming, while those who are behind the curve are sputtering. A fun-size candy bar goes out to anyone who ever imagined Minnesota would breed more mares than both Ohio and Michigan. Ten years ago, that thought would have been inconceivable.

While looking through the figures, I decided to also examine whether expanded gaming had an effect on the number of sires standing a given state. Below are my findings…

Stallions Covering Mares in the Great Lakes Region 1991-2010

X Axis = Year; Y Axis = Stallions Covering Mares

An interesting wrinkle of racino states is that they do not appear to guarantee a significantly greater stallion population once expanded gaming is implemented. What it does change, however, is the quality of stallions standing in the state.

Consider Indiana’s state-bred program, which emphasizes success in open competition instead of state-restricted fields. Because Indiana-breds must succeed against open fields, namely Kentucky-breds, to earn the most lucrative incentives, many farms must trade up from state-level sires to regional-level ones. The quantity of sires may remain steady, but the quality spikes. With lingering concerns about whether racinos actually lead to an improvement of the breed, it appears Indiana has found a way to at least point the state in a good direction.

To view the detailed spreadsheets for the above charts, click here.

2010 MTOBA Stallion Season Auction

The Michigan Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association will conduct its annual Stallion Season Auction on Monday and Tuesday.

Over 110 stallions from 14 states have seasons donated for the sale.

Bidding began Monday morning and will continue through Tuesday at 6 p.m. Phone bidding will be available Tuesday from 10 a.m. to 6 p.m.

For more information on the MTOBA Stallion Season Auction and to see a full list of the seasons being offered, click here.

Let’s have a look at some highlighted stallions from Michigan and elsewhere offering seasons in this sale…

Michigan breeding totals plummet in 2009

In a stark indicator of racing’s status in the state, early reports indicate the number of Thoroughbred mares bred in Michigan dropped 40.5 percent from 2008 to 2009.

The information is based on the recently released Jockey Club 2009 Report of Mares Bred.

The report encompasses mares bred reports received through Oct. 13, 2009. The Jockey Club notes: “The annual statistics include the number of mares bred to each stallion and represent approximately 92 percent of the mares that eventually will be reported as bred in 2009. According to historical trends, The Jockey Club expects to receive RMBs representing an additional 4,000 to 5,000 mares bred from the 2009 breeding season.”

According to the Jockey Club, 50 Thoroughbred stallions bred 404 mares in 2008. In 2009, those numbers fell to 34 stallions covering 240 mares. The average book per sire also dropped from about eight mares to slightly over seven.

Of the 29 sires who covered mares in both of the last two years, only six saw an increase in their books. The biggest gainer was Diamond Strike, who covered four more mares in 2009 for a total of 13.

Only two sires covered more than 20 mares this breeding season; Meadow Prayer (27) and Equality (21) – down from five in 2008.

One obvious cause for the decrease in mares bred is the success and lure of nearby states with casino gaming and other alternative wagering. While the breeding industry faced a downward national trend, Pennsylvania’s program surged to a 29.6 percent gain in 2009. Indiana is another racino states within a close proximity to Michigan that has seen its mare population spike in recent years.

With slots-enriched purses and lucrative breeding programs, many Michigan horsemen who have stalls at tracks in racino states also take their mares to capitalize on state-bred incentives.

Another less tangible reason for the steep decline could be a lack in confidence following the release of Gov. Jennifer Granholm’s 2010 Executive Budget in February. In the budget, Granholm proposed major cuts to the Ag Equine Development Fund, most notably slashing all owner’s and breeder’s incentives.

An announcement of that caliber, made in the heart of breeding season, could justifiably make breeders think about looking elsewhere or simply letting their mares go empty for a season until things shake out. The funding was partially restored later (though it still remains in limbo), but by then breeding season had already come and gone

The effects of what will likely be a historically small foal crop in Michigan will first be felt at the yearling sales. Two years from now, when today’s statistics are tomorrow’s yearlings, the pool to fill the catalog will be smaller than ever. This year’s sale was half the size of last year’s. One can only imagine what the catalog might look like with a fraction of the yearlings to draw from.

In the long term, the small crop could have implications on future field sizes at Pinnacle Race Course. Restricted two and three-year-old races, especially the Sire Stakes, will likely be harder to fill. This may, however work to the advantage of those who decided to breed and buy Michigan-breds, as the competition for purse money will be thinner than ever. If, by some divine stroke of luck, the racino issue passes, these people will be in on the ground floor to immediately benefit. The demand may also drive up the sale value of foals in this crop as well.

Clearly, it would be hard to consider the staggering drop in mares bred to be anything but a negative sign. When business is good, people get their mares bred. When business is bad, they don’t. It will be interesting to see how this crop will affect the racing industry in the coming years and how the breeding industry will respond next year.

For more information on the decline in mares bred, I have compiled a spreadsheet focusing on Michigan sires over the last two years. The Jockey Club doesn’t have a “sort by state” function, so I have done all the hunting for you.

Mares Bred by Michigan Sires, 2008-09

For more facts and figures regarding Michigan’s breeding program in recent years, I have compiled another spreadsheet with data from the previous two breeding seasons. I was saving it for another post that was in the works, but it fits here just as well.

Michigan Breeding Statistics, 2007-08; 2008-09

Equality colt tops MTOBA Yearling Sale

Equality colt Noequal attracted the high bid of $12,000 in last Sunday’s Michigan Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association Yearling Sale at Michigan State University.

The gray or roan Noequal, out of stakes-winner Rapid Reaction was the only horse of the 35 offered to eclipse the $10,000 mark.

Results were down in all major categories, largely stemming from a 52% decrease in entries from last year’s sale. The economy and the uncertain future of racing in Michigan were without a doubt factors in the decline (As well as Mount Pleasant Meadows running at the same time as the sale? MPM trainer Don Evans was among the leading buyers at last year’s yearling sale).

Noequal’s purchase alone produced the sale’s top buyer, Daniel McCarthy (one horse, $12,000) and top consigner, Opportunity Lane (three horses, $26,500). Opportunity Lane sent out three of the sale’s top four sellers.

The MTOBA sale may not have drawn in high rollers the likes Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al Maktoum or IEAH Stables’ Michael Iavarone, but this auction did have one thing on the Fasig-Tiptons of the world: free pizza. The organization provided several buffet tables of Papa John’s pizza and breadsticks to consigners, potential bidders, onlookers and internet writing types in the middle of the sale barn. Things like this are what make going to the sale so enjoyable, even if all I can afford to do is window shop.

The pizza was well deserved for many of the horsemen and women in attendance who had been inside the MSU Pavilion’s South Barn since well before the yearling show at 9 a.m.. Equality gelding Meachem Road took home Grand Champion honors and the top prize in the colts and geldings division. Noequal, another Equality colt, took reserve champion, while Daylight Savings filly Daytime Tricks took first prize among the females.

For a complete listing of the sale’s results, click here.
For a statistical breakdown of the sale, click here.
For a listing of the yearling show’s results, click here.

Let’s have a look at the top five sellers from last Sunday’s yearling sale, as well as some other notable hits and misses. I apologize in advance for the less-than-ideal quality of the photos. Indoor arena lighting paired with bright outside lighting is the bane of many a photographer.

Top Five Sellers:

#1: Hip #3 – Noequal – $12,000

Noequal, the MTOBA Yearling Sale’s top selling entry, was bought by leading buyer Daniel S. McCarthy for $12,000. The gray or roan Equality colt was consigned by leading seller Opportunity Lane. Noequal is out of stakes-winning Monetary Gift dam Rapid Reaction, full sister of two multiple stakes winners of over $380,000; That Gift, a Michigan champion three-year-old, and That Monetary. Rapid Reaction is the dam of six other foals, sending five to the races with four winners, including stakes-placed Impeachment gelding Red Line. Equality is the sire of Michigan champions Equalitysdebutante and Bipolar Express.

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This post is heavy on the pictures, so the rest can be found behind the jump. For loads more coverage of the MTOBA Yearling sale, just click the link below.

2009 MTOBA Yearling Sale Preview

Even the greatest champions of the turf started out as freaked out yearlings in a sale ring.

The time has come again for the next crop of Michigan-bred yearlings to take one step closer to the racetrack in Sunday’s Michigan Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association Yearling Show and Sale . The yearling show will begin at 9 a.m. in the Michigan State University Pavilion’s South Barn and the sale will follow at 1 p.m.

This year’s sale will feature 38 yearlings going through the sale ring, a significant decrease from the 74 offered last year. However, the yearling sale has been a rich source of Michigan stakes winners, including last year’s champion Valley Loot and 2008 stakes winners Clever Idea, Equally Good and Ittybittymeadow. Past results suggest there is plenty of blacktype waiting to happen from this sale.

In preparation for Sunday’s sale, I have compiled a few categories I found to be interesting. I have also singled out three yearlings I predict will command the highest prices of the day. If anyone thinks someone else will command the top dollar, I welcome your reasoning.

DISCLAIMER: Keep in mind I am by no means a bloodstock expert. Not even close. The following post is not a suggestion of who to buy, but simply a series of my observations and predictions regarding the upcoming yearling sale. I have seen none of these horses in person and am going strictly by what I see in the sale catalog and online, along with general vibes I get while looking over the catalog. However, if someone should purchase Michigan’s next millionaire based on something written here, a “thank you” would be nice.

So, without further ado, let’s have a look at a few of the horses that stand out from this year’s sale catalog.

For a full list and details of the horses offered in this year’s sale, view the online catalog here.

This gets pretty long, so I am putting it behind the jump to save space on the front page. Click the link below to keep reading.